Monday, October 18, 2010

Perriello's Race Appears To Be Tightening

I can't vouch for the accuracy of the Roanoke College poll in the past, but here's its latest on the Tom Perriello-Robert Hurt race in the Fifth Congressional District of Virginia, a race between a far right Republican (Hurt) who wants to take the seat of one of the most competent, honest and noble people in Congress.

Here's the RC release:

"Republican state Senator Robert Hurt holds a six-point lead (46 percent-40 percent) over Democratic incumbent Tom Perriello in Virginia’s Fifth Congressional district according to a poll conducted by The Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College. Independent candidate Jeffrey Clark is a distant third with 1 percent of the vote, and 13 percent remain undecided with two weeks until Election Day.

"The poll includes interviews conducted with 567 likely voters (registered voters who said they were likely to vote) in the Fifth Congressional district between October 5 and October 14. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.1 percent.

"The percentage of undecided voters remains high this late in the campaign: 13 percent of likely voters have yet to make a decision in the contest for U.S. Representative. Perriello holds a slight advantage among undecided voters, 19 percent-16 percent, while 92 percent of the Hurt’s supporters and 86 percent of Perriello’s supporters say it is very certain they will vote for that candidate. Hurt voters were more likely to have paid a lot of attention to the campaign (54 percent-42 percent) and are more likely to be very interested in the campaign (66 percent-50 percent) when compared with Perriello voters.

"There is a significant gender gap in this campaign with men supporting Hurt (52 percent to 31 percent) and women supporting Perriello (48 percent to 40 percent). The majority (80 percent) of those who are undecided said they are very likely to vote. The undecided voters also trend toward being Independents who are moderate or conservative."

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